Who Will Win at the 2025 Oscars: From Demi Moore vs. Mikey Madison to Adrien Brody vs. Timothée Chalamet

Mar. 15, 2025

Timothee Chalamet in A Complete Unknown; Demi Moore in in The Substance; Mikey Madison in Anora; Adrien Brody in The Brutalist.Photo:Courtesy of Searchlight Pictures; Courtesy of MUBI; Neon/Courtesy Everett Collection; Courtesy of A24

Courtesy of Searchlight Pictures; Courtesy of MUBI; Neon/Courtesy Everett Collection; Courtesy of A24

So: It’s time to make some final Oscar predictions.

Best Picture

Conclave.Courtesy of Focus Features

Courtesy of Focus Features

As the buzz fordirector Brady Corbet’s gargantuan epicThe Brutalisthas died down, or maybe just passed away altogether, the race has narrowed down to two excellent but very different movies.Anora, director Sean Baker’s funny but unexpectedly heartbreaking film about the misadventures of  a guileless erotic dancer (Mikey Madison), has the raw, vital energy of what used to be called independent cinema. Then you haveConclave, director Edward Berger’s Vatican thriller. A gleamingly polished, impeccably mounted production with an A-list cast, it’s like vintage ensemble trash —The Poseidon Adventure,say — decorated to look like the Sistine Chapel. This is not a bad thing.

My hunch is that the Academy will go withConclave.

Best Actress

The Substance.MUBI/YouTube

MUBI/YouTube

Best Actor

The Brutalist.Lol Crawley

Lol Crawley

Best Supporting Actress

Zoe Saldana in Emilia Perez.Shanna Besson/PAGE 114

Shanna Besson/PAGE 114

Zoe Saldañais just about the only survivor of that capsized juggernautEmilia Pérez,and there’s little reason to doubt that the high tide that’s borne her aloft all through awards season won’t conclude with an Oscar win for her sharp performance as a druglord’s fixer. But there may be a spoiler:Conclave’sIsabella Rossellini. Her performance as a nun who confronts the College of Cardinals boils down to just one scene, but that scene is crucial to the film — and so is Rossellini, making the most of her few lines. It’s as if she’d been handed a single bunch of grapes and given it enough of a stomp to produce an entire barrel of wine (and it’s not plonk, either). Plus she’s the daughter of revered actressIngrid Bergman. And did you knowshe raises ducks and chickens, one of them named Andy Warhol? But who knows how much Bergman, let alone poultry, matters to today’s Academy. The winner will be Saldaña.

Best Supporting Actor

A Real Pain.Photo Courtesy of Searchlight Pictures

Photo Courtesy of Searchlight Pictures

Kieran CulkinforA Real Pain.Next!

Best Director

Sean Baker and Mikey Madison.Mustafa Yalcin/Anadolu via Getty

Mustafa Yalcin/Anadolu via Getty

Best Animated Feature

Flow.UFO Distribution

UFO Distribution

source: people.com